Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.825497 0.928983 1.041713 1.173838 1.324713 1.491928 1.691708
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.653567 0.790191 0.951210 1.155837 1.410169 1.717433 2.119106
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.578478 0.733103 0.925059 1.182571 1.521553 1.956072 2.560884
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.508526 0.669169 0.877100 1.168567 1.570725 2.112098 2.906245
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.463482 0.630101 0.853744 1.179542 1.648141 2.307091 3.320449
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.418658 0.585411 0.816387 1.164365 1.683483 2.442221 3.659292
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.383699 0.550387 0.787972 1.157079 1.726539 2.589189 4.028522
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.342624 0.502379 0.735775 1.108181 1.699843 2.624753 4.222689
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.324254 0.486161 0.728721 1.126462 1.777745 2.829519 4.713800
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.308633 0.472541 0.723989 1.147112 1.860172 3.048162 5.252325
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.291894 0.455628 0.712367 1.154896 1.920937 3.235046 5.755150
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.275215 0.437381 0.696902 1.154402 1.966602 3.398935 6.233523
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.261870 0.423891 0.688662 1.166356 2.036843 3.616714 6.847873
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.243301 0.400342 0.661819 1.143484 2.042117 3.716093 7.243965
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.235121 0.393715 0.663117 1.170599 2.141771 4.002692 8.055050
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.220984 0.375685 0.643075 1.156658 2.161575 4.135492 8.559967
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.211904 0.365864 0.636740 1.167522 2.230161 4.371778 9.318959
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.199800 0.349753 0.617795 1.152514 2.245328 4.499479 9.851081
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.189759 0.336710 0.603526 1.145310 2.275450 4.661157 10.482549
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.175088 0.314160 0.569937 1.096960 2.215098 4.621319 10.628839
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.169932 0.309132 0.569252 1.115037 2.297671 4.904610 11.603237
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.165359 0.304893 0.569739 1.135455 2.387100 5.212768 12.684864
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.159589 0.297955 0.564419 1.143151 2.448816 5.463241 13.653544